Hurricane
Season 2002
Experts at the US
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) expect that this
years hurricane season in the Atlantic, which began officially on
1 June and should end by 30 November, will probably be normal or slightly
above the historical average.
In total, they anticipate between nine and 13 tropical storms, of which
six to eight will turn into hurricanes, and two to three into severe hurricanes
of Category 3 or higher on the Zafir-Simpson Scale.
The
following table summarizes the forecast.
Storm strength |
2002
Forecast Historical Averages
|
(Gray,
December 2001) (1950-2000)
|
Named tropical
storms |
13
|
9
|
Tropical storms |
5
|
4
|
Hurricanes |
8
|
6
|
Severe hurricanes |
4
|
2
|
This estimate may
change based on changes in climate conditions in the course of the year.
|